Links 1/31/2026 | naked capitalism

The Pursuit of Mastery Big Think

Gray wolves are hunting sea otters and no one knows how Science Daily (Kevin W)

Social media is boosting mental health disorders and suicidal thoughts among teens, particularly in girls The Conversation

Genes influence human lifespan far more than thought, new study suggests STAT

COVID-19/Pandemics

📉25% LOWER ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY! Wowzers—one of the largest long-term safety studies ever undertaken—offers the clearest answer yet: “Among 28 million French adults aged 18–59, those who received an mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine were less likely to die in the subsequent four years… pic.twitter.com/taR4Dm2v0C

— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 29, 2026

BREAKING:

Scientists Develop Plant-Based Antiviral Chewing Gum That Neutralizes Over 95% of Flu and Herpes Viruses in Saliva

Building on earlier ACE2-based gum that cut SARS-CoV-2 in saliva by over 95% and is now in trials, the new gum targets a wider range of pathogens. pic.twitter.com/m9Y4SEzgwQ

— SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) (@COVID19_disease) January 29, 2026

Climate/Environment

What happens to forests when the planet warms up too fast Earth

Amazon is getting drier as deforestation shuts down atmospheric rivers New Scientist

HISTORIC HEAT WAVE IN AFRICAHundreds of records have been falling allover Africa every day of the month.

Incredible “double-double” record again in the CONGOS capitals36.2C Kinshasa35.9C BrazzavilleHottest January day in history for both

They did the same thing in December! pic.twitter.com/UxGwtQAcaz

— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 28, 2026

Drought in the east, floods in the south: Africa battered by climate change Aljazeera

China sees most high temperature days on record in 2025 Reuters

Records fall as Storm Chandra brings flooding to the UK and Ireland Net Weather

National survey finds microplastic pollution around Britain’s coastline could be double than previously recorded University of Portsmouth

China?

I Test Drove a Chinese EV. Now I Don’t Want to Buy American Cars Anymore. Wall Street Journal. Paul R: “Surrender, Elon.”

China reportedly drops rules that sparked property crisis, developer shares surge Reuters

China’s AI Landscape: a free-for-all, not a central plan ChinaTalk

India

India hasn’t even experienced industrialisation in the first place: Ha-Joon Chang Frontline (Colonel Smithers). From last November, still germane.

Southeast Asia

Junta-backed party secures sweeping victory in Myanmar’s ‘sham’ election Guardianhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jan/30/junta-backed-party-victory-myanmar-sham-election

Ceasefire with Cambodia still ‘fragile’: Thai foreign minister Nikkei

O Canada

Trump threatens Canada with 50% tariff on aircraft sold in US, expanding trade war Independent

European Disunion

Germany plans satellite missile detection system to cut reliance on US Financial Times

The time has sadly come for a Nordic nuclear weapon Euractiv

Old Blighty

Starmer hits back at Trump’s China criticism Telegraph

Higher food prices ‘inevitable’ due to energy cost shock, growers warn The Grocer

Who secretly owns Britain? Map of hidden UK property owners Tax Policy (Colonel Smithers)

The Palestine Action hunger strikes ended in partial victory Asa Winstanley

Israel v. The Resistance. In our recent Iran War Watch post, we were hugely remiss in not pointing out the factor most likely to constrain Trump: Mr. Market. If investors continue to drive up oil prices, Trump will blink, even if he otherwise would prefer not to. But the buildup continues….

Israel’s apologists spent over 2 years sowing distrust in the official Gaza death toll.

Now the Israeli army quietly accepts that it is actually an underestimate.

Eternal shame for the atrocity deniers. They must never be absolved of their guilt. https://t.co/JDZPqbJEoU pic.twitter.com/RhcjtWPY7H

— Owen Jones (@owenjonesjourno) January 29, 2026

Full text: Charter of Trump’s Board of Peace Time of Israel (resilc)

* * *

The US Navy Faces a Major Challenge in Sustaining Combat Operations off the Coast of Iran Larry Johnson

Iran ready for both war and dialogue, ‘will not accept dictation’: FM Araghchi PressTV. See further in the article. This would seem to mean no use of the big, critical Incirlik airbase, over which Turkiye has stronger rights than most nation do over US installations:

Ankara opposed to military intervention

Fidan, speaking alongside Araghchi, reiterated Ankara’s opposition to military action against Iran. “We have conveyed our opposition to a military intervention against Iran to our interlocutors at every opportunity,” he said.

How can Iranians do that to Iranians? Setareh Sadeqi describes the recent Mossad/CIA riots in Iran Vanessa Beeley

New Not-So-Cold War

Sergey Lavrov: “Our negotiating team remains committed to continuing contacts in any formats. They know what they are doing” International Affairs (Micael T). Lavrov in full on “suffer no fools” mode.

Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s interview with Turkish media (state television channel TRT and newspaper Türkiye), Moscow, January 29, 2026 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation

Note that another tweet highlights this speech includes Nebenzya saying: “Europe is governed by political pygmies. I’ve been saying this for a long time – it’s a fact. The guiding principle has vanished, and now we see a race of cockroaches.”

Russia’s Nebenzya Smashes EU Leaders’

“Peace is more dangerous than war in Ukraine” explains the madness of the EU.

Disband NATO and Brussels,they failed NATO failed.

Europe ruled by ‘MOST DANGEROUS OF FOOLS’ in continenthttps://t.co/iVaNtxCQ8b

— Politics Polly (@PoliticsPolly1) January 30, 2026

SITREP 1/30/26: Putin Flatters Trump With Kiev-Energy Ceasefire Simplicius. Note that Alexander Mercouris disagrees with this take.

NATO creating bank to prepare for war with Russia – media RT (Kevin W)

Chinese satellite reveals US military location amidst threats of US-Iran war Janta Ka Reporter, YouTube

Why it would be a big mistake for the US to go to war with Iran The Conversation (Kevin W)

Big Brother is Watching You Watch

Important. And why I do nothing on my phone save make a very very few calls and hail rideshares and keep it mainly in a Faraday bag.

🇬🇧 A new British police tool is capable of downloading all information from your smartphone, including deleted messages, deleted browsing history & private conversations — BBC

The device is capable of downloading: – call logs, – chats, – cookies, – device notifications, -… pic.twitter.com/WuCNvudXiJ

— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) January 30, 2026

Read the manual for a Palantir-ICE app 404 Media

Imperial Collapse Watch

New (Old) Paradigm with John Mearsheimer and Alastair Crooke CrossTalk, Rumble

How the tariff war shock affected the ‘safe asset’ privilege of US Treasuries VoxEU

Trump 2.0

Trump to Attend Screening of ‘Melania,’ a Film Heavily Promoted by Amazon New York Times (resilc)

Roaming Charges: Bored of Peace CounterPunch

Shutdown

Senate passes massive government funding package, sending it to House The Hill

L’affaire Epstein

Department of Justice Publishes 3.5 Million Responsive Pages in Compliance with the Epstein Files Transparency Act Department of Justice

Elon Musk Emailed Extensively With Jeffrey Epstein, Asking to Visit His Notorious Island Futurism

Stunning Epstein twist as Ghislaine Maxwell claims 29 friends cut ‘secret deals’ with DOJ Daily Mail (resilc)

MAHA

An Unknown Commission Could Destroy the Vaccine Market Eric Feigl-Ding (Dr. Kevin)

U.S. Has No Backup Plan if Foreign Generic Drugmakers Bow Out, Senator Says MedPage Today

Fed

What Does Kevin Warsh’s Nomination Mean for the Fed? Bloomberg

A Bad Heir Day at the Fed Paul Krugman

ICE Rampage

Former CNN host Don Lemon arrested after anti-ICE protests at Minnesota church BBC

Judges across the country rebuke ICE for defying court orders Politico (MJS)

Democrats say they are seeing signs of a fundraising boost amid outrage over ICE The Hill

Our No Longer Free Press

YouTube Leads All Media Barry Ritholtz (resilc)

St. Luigi

Federal judge in NYC spares Luigi Mangione the death penalty, drops murder and firearm charges Gothamist

Economy

Global Oil Discoveries Are Badly Lagging Consumption OilPrice

Mr. Market is Giddy

Gold and silver prices plunge as rally goes into reverse Financial Times

CHART: Friday massacre for mining stocks but copper price pulls out of nosedive Mining.com

Tungsten rises to record highs as export curbs turn up supply heat Reuters

How the A.I. Boom Could Push Up the Price of Your Next PC New York Times

Guillotine Watch

Tim Cook’s parties with Trump hours after Pretti killing Oligarch Watch

Class Warfare

The average 50-something American is now worth $1.4 million USA Today (resilc)

Nike Says Its Factory Workers Make Nearly Double the Minimum Wage. In Indonesia, Workers Say, “It’s Not True.” ProPublica (Robin K)

THE MEANS-TESTING INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX Luke Farrell

Antidote du jour (via):

A bonus: