The ruling means the U.S. may owe businesses many billions of dollars in refunds. It also means that consumers could eventually see lower prices than they have since the reciprocal tariffs began.
But the SCOTUS ruling doesn’t mean the end of tariffs altogether — Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum, for example, would stand. And the president can certainly impose more tariffs, but he’ll have to find a different channel to do so.
Trump says the tariffs are meant to counter what he describes as unfair trade practices and to pressure trading partners into negotiating more favorable terms for the U.S.
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Several private companies and 12 states challenged the reciprocal tariffs in a series of lawsuits, arguing that IEEPA did not give the president authority to enact the tariffs and that this type of sweeping trade policy requires congressional authorization.
Federal district courts ruled in favor of the challengers, stating that the president did not have the authority to impose tariffs under the IEEPA and that Congress historically maintains control over broad tariff policies.
The Trump administration appealed those rulings, arguing that the IEEPA gives the president discretion to respond to economic threats.
On Nov. 5, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in Learning Resources v. Trump, a case consolidating the key questions in the lower-court cases. During arguments, several justices appeared skeptical of the administration’s use of IEEPA as justification for imposing large-scale tariffs.
On Feb. 20, SCOTUS agreed 6-3 that the administration could not enact tariffs under the IEEPA.
“The President asserts the extraordinary power to unilaterally impose tariffs of unlimited amount, duration, and scope,” wrote Chief Justice John Roberts in the majority opinion. “In light of the breadth, history, and constitutional context of that asserted authority, he must identify clear congressional authorization to exercise it.”
Roberts said IEEPA cannot be used as justification because the IEEPA contains no reference to tariffs or duties, there is no statute in which Congress gives the president power to “regulate” imports and no president has used IEEPA to impose tariffs.
What does the tariff ruling mean for you?
The court’s ruling means the tariffs enacted under the IEEPA — the majority of Trump’s second-term tariffs — are null and void.
Without tariffs, importers’ costs will fall, which means the cost of doing business will go down. As a result, consumer prices are likely to eventually ease, meaning everyday imports like electronics and appliances, apparel, auto parts and furniture could get cheaper. That dynamic is also likely to ease tariff-fueled inflation.
Without tariffs, shipping products internationally will likely be faster, and importers won’t have to rely on supply-chain workarounds. Not only will overseas purchases arrive faster, but there will also likely be more options on store shelves.
However, it will take time for prices to come down as importers work through inventories purchased under tariff conditions and wait for contracts with suppliers or shippers to unwind. In other words, consumers probably won’t see price drops overnight.
There’s another wrinkle, too: Some companies may not lower prices and instead absorb the savings from the absence of tariffs as profit.
Importers expect to be refunded
Importers will no longer have to pay tariffs going forward and with tariffs struck down, importers are expected to receive refunds on levies paid while the tariffs were in place. What’s unclear at the moment is how businesses will recoup that tariff money and the timeline for doing so. Administering the process could take years.
Some companies have already sold their rights to any future refund money they might receive under the ruling, which allowed them to get cash immediately instead of waiting for a refund later. Investors, banking on tariffs being overturned, paid only a small fraction up front and reserved the rights to the eventual refunds.
Trump will likely seek other ways to impose tariffs
It’s likely the Trump administration won’t give up on tariffs. Trump has other potential avenues to enact levies on imports without Congress including:
Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, which gives the president authority to impose restrictions, like tariffs, if the Secretary of Commerce declares a threat to national security. Trump has used Section 232 for his tariffs on steel and aluminum, for example.
Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, which gives the president the authority to take actions, such as enacting tariffs, against unreasonable or unjustifiable foreign trade practices. During Trump’s first term, he used Section 301 as the basis for tariffs on China.
Elizabeth Renter, NerdWallet’s senior economist, says the ruling presents new uncertainty for consumers who have already felt the impact of tariffs for months. “While the Administration will likely seek alternative routes to achieve their ends, there will be no plug-and-play solution that allows things to continue on the path they’ve been on,” says Renter. “For consumers, the ruling means less risk of higher and higher prices, but no end in sight to the economic uncertainty.”
(Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images Images via Getty Images)
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About the author
Anna Helhoski is a senior writer covering economic news and trends in consumer finance at NerdWallet. She is an on-air contributor and producer of Money News segments for NerdWallet’s Smart Money podcast. She is also an authority on student loans. She joined NerdWallet in 2014. Her work has been syndicated in news outlets nationwide including The Associated Press, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Los Angeles Times and USA Today. She previously covered local news in the New York metro area for the Daily Voice and New York state politics for The Legislative Gazette. She holds a bachelor’s degree in journalism from Purchase College, State University of New York.
