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Home Markets

How to Make Money in a “Boring,” Normalized Housing Market

by FeeOnlyNews.com
2 months ago
in Markets
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How to Make Money in a “Boring,” Normalized Housing Market
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Slow doesn’t have to mean no cash flow. Just because most experts have predicted a monotonous real estate market for 2026, with no crash or boom, doesn’t mean there aren’t still opportunities for disciplined investors.

“Housing demand is constrained by a lack of affordability—high prices, elevated mortgage rates—while rising fears of joblessness are further depressing homebuyer appetite,” James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, told Reuters. “At the same time, supply is on the rise, with insurance and property taxes putting financial pressure on stretched homeowners.”

If all that sounds a bit morose, even in the light of three interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve so far, the good news is that history has shown us that malaise in the market doesn’t last forever. Rather, they offer long-term investors a chance to strategize and align their finances for when the market picks up again.

An Equity Hiatus

Real estate analytics site Cotality offered some specificity on the current state of the market, reporting that home price growth slowed from 3.4% in January 2025 to 1.1% in October, the lowest rate since 2012. Meanwhile, a Reuters poll of property experts predicted that home prices will rise just 1.4% in 2026, while rates will remain above 6%.

The truly sobering news for investors is that amid a stultified market, Cotality reported that single-family rent growth slowed to a 15-year low by late 2025, with many large metros seeing flat or even slightly declining rents as large numbers of multifamily construction hit the market. This was echoed by CNN, citing Bank of America data. 

While this gives respite to cash-strapped tenants, it does little to assuage the concerns of investors worried about higher expenses, such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance.

“No Cash Flow Mention ’Til ’27”

A couple of years ago, during the dying days of the Biden administration, investors were being advised to “stay alive until ’25.” Now it appears that the cogent advice is “No cash flow mention ’til 27.” 

Redfin, as quoted by CNN, has labeled 2026 “The Great Housing Reset” and projects that rents could increase by roughly 2% to 3% year over year by the end of 2026, as the delivery of new apartments slows.

For smaller landlords who wish to remain active in the market, this means underwriting deals with conservative rent assumptions and focusing on submarkets where local growth supports steady occupancy.

Finding Opportunities in a “Boring” Market

Warren Buffett’s sage advice on investing is worth remembering in today’s market: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” Because rents and home prices are not soaring amid relatively high interest rates and affordability concerns, many buyers are sitting out a stagnant market. This means with less competition, this is an ideal time to buy.

Many investors have taken this advice to heart, choosing the lack of homeowner activity to scoop up deals. Cotality’s investor data shows that investors accounted for just under one-third of single-family home purchases through October 2025, spending about $483 billion. That spending was primarily focused on long-term rentals rather than short-term flips.

A Nuanced Picture

The U.S. real estate market is never a one-size-fits-all for investors, as regional differences are pronounced. This is where prospective landlords can take advantage. Looking for increased inventory and increased days on market can offer insights as to where to find deals.

Cotality’s December 2025 report noted that the Washington, D.C., area had a record 60% year-over-year jump in inventory in November, following federal layoffs and a government shutdown. The nearby Frederick-Gaithersburg-Bethesda, Maryland, area saw a 68% increase in inventory year over year, with days on market rising rapidly as well.

There was a similar story in several Western and Sunbelt states, according to Realtor.com, where price cuts escalated as inventory climbed back above 2019 levels, as buyers balked at 6%+ interest rates. Although national prices were still up by 2.3% year over year through August, softer conditions in several states create more favorable buying conditions.

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Practical Moves for Investors for 2026 and Beyond

Focus on the things you can control

“Small wins rather than slam dunks” should be the general real estate investment motto for 2026. Of course, no one would turn down a big payday if they come across it, but they might be a bit thin on the ground.

Instead of a big flip, soaring equity, or expansive rent growth, focusing on the things you can control, such as intelligent financing, clever property choices, skilled price negotiation, and smart management choices, is the prudent way to address investing this year.  

Eliminate debt

Starting from a clean slate helps when planning for the future. Simply saving W-2 or rental income and paying off debt, including consumer debt, helps increase cash flow without raising rents or taking out new loans. Stacking reserves also means you will be better placed to secure financing when you are ready to pursue a deal, instead of going to a lender seeking maximum leverage.

Curate a “buy box”

Start analyzing regions and neighborhoods that fit your investment criteria. Rising rent growth, job availability, and low insurance and tax rates should all play a part in your decision-making. 

If you find your ideal investment choice is in an area you do not live in but would consider, your first investment could be an owner-occupied small multifamily, which you could secure with an FHA loan and house hack, thereby lowering your expenses while you look for more opportunities.

Use your existing equity wisely

This reset period could be a good opportunity to access your accumulated home equity to purchase a new property, complete repairs on existing properties, or reposition financing, all with the goal of increasing cash flow and paying down additional debt before investing again.

Final Thoughts

One of the best cash flow strategies for 2026 amid a stalled market is investing in small multifamily rentals, which are likely to give an investor more bang for their buck than single-family homes. These days, that does not refer solely to two-to-four-unit buildings, but can also include a single-family rental with an additional ADU. Even adding a finished basement to an existing rental property to increase cash flow could be a win-win. 

The bottom line: Work with what you’ve got. Taking out extra loans and leveraging when you can increase cash flow with your current portfolio, or purchasing more than one unit at once—thus mitigating risk across units—is a savvy move in a stagnant market when money is tight.

The Midwest seems to be the best place to invest in 2026 based on its affordability metrics. LandlordStudio’s 2026 guide identifies Cleveland, Indianapolis, Columbus, and Kansas City as top cash flow markets due to entry prices of $150,000 to $300,000 and targeted 8%-12% cash-on-cash returns for well-run rentals.

PropStream’s Top Affordable Real Estate Markets For New Investors 2026 is of a similar mind, emphasizing that positive cash flow is to be found in metros with below-median house prices and solid rental demand.



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