Quick Read
Energy Transfer (ET) trades around $20 with a 6.55% yield, adjusted EBITDA (up 20% year-over-year), and quarterly distributions climbing, backed by fee-based contracts averaging 18-year terms across huge contracted capacity.
AI-driven data center expansion is creating direct tailwinds for Energy Transfer’s fee stream, with long-term agreements to supply three Oracle data centers and upsized Desert Southwest expansion capacity.
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With inflation still pinching household budgets and energy bottlenecks creating real chokepoints across the U.S. grid, the businesses that physically move molecules from wellhead to power plant have rarely looked more strategic. Pipelines act as literal toll booths in this environment, collecting fees on volumes locked into long-term contracts and insulated from day-to-day commodity price swings. For retail investors hunting income without paying nosebleed valuations, a sub-$30 share price on a top-tier midstream operator is the kind of setup worth a hard second look.
With that in mind, here is one stock trading well under $30 that analysts believe still has meaningful upside, backed by a fortress income stream and a growth backlog tied directly to AI-driven natural gas demand.
Energy Transfer (NYSE: ET)
Energy Transfer (NYSE:ET) is one of the largest midstream energy infrastructure partnerships in North America, operating roughly 130,000 miles of pipelines carrying natural gas, NGLs, crude oil, and refined products under a fee-based business model.
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Units recently changed hands at $20.01 as of May 21, 2026, which leaves plenty of room under the $30 ceiling and keeps the entry point accessible for smaller portfolios. Despite the move, the stock is still up 25.77% year to date and 21.41% over the past year, showing that buyers have been steadily accumulating without pushing valuation to extremes.
The fundamentals do the heavy lifting here. Energy Transfer carries a market cap near $69.4 billion, a trailing P/E of 17, and a more attractive forward P/E of 12. The consensus is firmly constructive: 5 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with an average analyst price target of $23.32. Recent target hikes have stacked up quickly, including Raymond James moving to $26 with a Strong Buy on May 13 and Scotiabank lifting to $24.
The bull case is straightforward. This is a fee-based toll booth on the country’s energy plumbing, and the toll booth just got busier. Q1 2026 results showed net income of $1.25 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $4.94 billion, up roughly 20% year over year, prompting management to lift full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $18.2 to $18.6 billion, a $750 million increase. Volumes are setting partnership records: in Q4 2025, NGL exports rose 12%, crude oil transportation volumes rose 6%, and NGL fractionation rose 3%, all records.
