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Home Cryptocurrency

What it means for price discovery?

by FeeOnlyNews.com
2 months ago
in Cryptocurrency
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What it means for price discovery?
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Decentralized exchanges (DEX) registered $1.43 trillion in spot volume during the third quarter, marking the strongest quarterly performance on record and signaling a structural shift in how crypto markets establish prices.

The figure represents a 43.6% increase from the $1 trillion registered in the second quarter, and surpasses the previous record of nearly $1.2 trillion set between January and March.

August and September delivered the second- and third-largest monthly volumes in history, at $510.5 billion and $499.1 billion, respectively, trailing only January 2025’s $560.3 billion.

Additionally, DEXs captured 17.7% of the total crypto spot volume traded by their centralized counterparts, according to data from The Block. The percentage beats the second quarter’s ratio and the previous record by 0.1%.

The milestone demonstrates that decentralized platforms kept pace with centralized counterparts during a period of elevated trading activity, a feat that suggests maturing infrastructure and deepening liquidity pools.

Price Discovery Shifts On-Chain

The volume surge coincides with a fundamental change in market conditions. Analyst Ignas noted in January that tokens recently listed on Binance underperformed the broader market, indicating price discovery occurs on decentralized exchanges before centralized platforms serve as exit liquidity venues.

Simon’s Cat (CAT) and Magic Eden’s ME token both experienced a drop of approximately 70% after their listings. Meanwhile, Velodrome’s (VELO) Binance listing exemplified the pattern.

The token plunged nearly 70% to $0.1154 after trading pairs launched, confirming that centralized exchanges increasingly function as exit liquidity rather than discovery venues.

The analyst noted:

“Previously, price discovery occurred in private VC markets, with CEXs as exit liquidity. Now, DEXs are for price discovery and CEX for exit liquidity.”

The predominance of sophisticated traders classified as “smart money” on decentralized platforms drives this transition.

Repeated $100 billion-plus monthly volumes on Uniswap and its peers mean more price ticks are set in automated market maker curves and request-for-quote auctions, rather than order books at custodial venues.

Infrastructure implications

Despite Ignas’ observations from January, the decentralized trading venues have shown sustained usage by investors. This growth reconfigures market plumbing, altering who sets prices, bears risk, and directs liquidity.

When decentralized exchanges consistently post triple-digit billion monthly volumes, the dynamic reweights indices, market-making models, and oracle design toward DEX liquidity sources. The result produces more transparent, programmatic markets where custody and execution converge in a single wallet.

Liquidity, pricing, and risk management are migrating to smart contracts and solver networks, while regulators, indexers, and market makers are increasingly treating on-chain venues as primary rather than peripheral sources of truth.

Having exit liquidity streams through centralized exchanges remains healthy for the market, providing outlets for position unwinding and capital rotation.

The two-tiered structure enables price formation on decentralized rails while maintaining deep exit venues for traders seeking immediate liquidity on a large scale.

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